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Old 02-25-2025, 02:02 PM   #85
Griever20
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2021 September/October: State of the Expos

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EL Awards:
Batter of the Month: Washington RF James McFadyen(26, 3*) .398-7-18 1.160OPS 1.6WAR 2020 All-Star and Silver Slugger.
Pitcher of the Month: Miami RHCL Brian Umbaugh(23, 3.5*) 1-0 10SV 1.69 11K 13IP 0.3WAR 2nd year closer, 2nd in SV(45)
Rookie of the Month: Atlanta 2B Nick Flores(22, 3*) .365-5-20 1.046OPS 26G 1.4WAR 3rd overall pick in 2017

WL Awards:
Batter of the Month: Vancouver C Jake Williams(25, 5*) .384-12-26 1.274OPS 1.7WAR 2021 All-Star
Pitcher of the Month: Salt Lake City Bearcats SP Jamie Sloan(31, 3*) 4-1 2.30 33K 6GS 43IP 0.8WAR 2nd NMLB year at age 31
Rookie of the Month: Arizona 3B Michael Lemus(23, 3*) .287-8-28 1.020OPS 25G 1.2WAR Leads WL rookies in HR(36) and WAR(3.4)

So, we are the second worst time in baseball, yet won 14 more games as last year. The San Diego Padres are behind us by one loss, and I think that only shows how close this year was compared to last year. No 100 loss team. That means we will get the #2 pick in the upcoming draft, and boy do we need another good pick to build a contender in the future.

We are going into this offseason with a lot of money in our coffers for 2021 as we ended up with player salaries of $26.4M at the end of the season, yet there are no really interesting free agents coming up, unless there is some stud joining the league from the international market. That means, we have to develop the talent from within.

Yet, the deal making GM that I am is already looking forward to the offseason and the opportunity to look for some trades, more on that below.

Pitching:
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DL: SP Dan Hinton(22, 4/5*) torn flexor tendon (elbow) 5 months 4-0 1.93 38K 42IP 7GS 1.7WAR
DL: SP Danny Sandoval(23, 2.5*) ruptured UCL 8-9 months 0-5 5.36 59K 50.1IP 11GS 0.1WAR

NMBL Montreal Expos Players on the leaderboard:
SP Sam Griffin 1.7 BB/9 – 1st

Sam Griffin has 4.1WAR. Wow. That is a great achievement for a guy that was not expected to be more than a stopgap in our rotation. He certainly will stay with the team next season and beyond. Yet, we have a lot of work to do here as we want to get a.) younger and most importantly b.) better.

Starting Pitching (# of options left, arb. estimate, Trade Chips in Red):
Save Roster Spot: Hinton, Roy, Griffin
40-man minimum contract: Hilscher(0), Sandoval(3), Alvarado(2), Miranda(2), Martinez(2)
40-man arbitration: Rush(2, $950k), Magana(3, $1.5M)
To be waived and DFA’ed: Lopez(1)
Rule 5 eligible: Morris, Quiroz, Bernstein

We have a lot of junk here. Victor Lopez can go, and if someone wants to claim him or Rule 5 draft him, have fun. Sam Rush and Melvin Magana are options to be traded away, tho I would be willing to keep Rush for that arb estimate. Adrian Hilscher is an interesting conundrum as he did not perform that well and is out of options…Juan Miranda will get a good look next spring again as he is a workhorse starter with five strong pitches and a 3* potential, he may be ready to capture the #4 spot, leaving one slot open for Hilscher, Alvarado, Rush and Martinez to battle for…

LHRP (# of options left, arb. estimate, Trade Chips in Red):
Save Roster Spot: Leone
40-man minimum contract: Mannino(2), Nelson(3), Costa(1)
Rule 5 eligible: Wood
NMLB ready prospect: Herzer

Nelson was an All-Star but Dave G. thinks he is the third to fourh best lefty in our pen behind Leone, Herzer, Mannino and maybe Costa. That makes him expendable. Joe Herzer will get a shot at the NMLB roster next spring as his looks ready and is rated a 3* consensus reliever.

RHRP (# of options left, arb. estimate, Trade Chips in Red):
Save Roster Spot: Rasbach, Rudolph
40-man minimum contract: Ball(3), McKeen(2), Silva(2), Thrower(3)
To be waived and DFA’ed: Pelletier(2), Oldt(2)
Rule 5 eligible: Boettger
NMLB ready prospect: Cowden

In short, Pelletier and Oldt will be shown the door through waivers as we got a good arm in McKeen on the waiver wire and Kevin Cowden will get a shot at the NMLB roster, similar to Herzer as lefty. Mike Boettger is more of a long-man/starter, but may be on the 40-man just for that.

Position Players:
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DL: LF Brian Oatley(27, 2.5*) ruptured ACL 2 months .289-1-8 .728OPS 27G/20GS 0.5WAR

NMBL Montreal Expos Players on the leaderboard:
1B Dan Cook 632 AB’s – 1st
1B Dan Cook 46 DB – tied 4th
CF Vicente Rodriguez 8 TP – 5th

Surprisingly enough, Vicente Rodriguez is the highest WAR position player in our team, followed by Dan Cook and Orlando Gonzalez, who only appeared in 89 games. Looking at his scouting ratings, Gonzalez may be a fluke, but he is a fluke that will keep the 3B job for next year unless something surprising happens.

Catcher (# of options left, arb. estimate, Trade Chips in Red):
40-man minimum contract: Craddock(3), Chavis(2)
Rule 5 eligible: Perry
Minor League Free Agent: Donald

This is a problem position for us. Craddock has performed a bit better in the second half and since he got the every day job in September, yet Chavis has a way better CERA(3.89) to Craddock’s 5.09… Perry is not a good defensive catcher and may be only on the 40-man as we need a third catcher.

Infield (# of options left, arb. estimate, Trade Chips in Red):
Save Roster Spot: 1B Kerzner, 3B Gonzalez
40-man minimum contract: 1B Cook(0), 2B Quiros(2), 2B Weltzer(2), 2B Reyes(2), SS Robles(0)
Rule 5 eligible: 1B Grochowski, 2B Hawk, 3B Alfaro, SS Hernandez
Minor League Free Agent: 3B Anderson, 2B Alvarez, 2B Boone, 1B Czech

Don’t get me wrong, Dan Cook had a great year and I grew fond of him. But he is not a good first baseman when it comes to power potential and production, and we have a logjam to solve in the outfield, more below. Ken Czech was signed as a minor league free agent and hit a solid .265 in AAA, Dave Grochowski hit .262 in AA… both are more contact oriented first baseman and Czech is already 24…

Second base was a revolving door and we need to get rid of a couple of those suckers as top prospect Julian Hernandez and #96 prospect Will Alfaro need roster spots. We need a new 3B backup tho and whether Hernandez is really part of this depth chart remains to be seen.

Outfield (# of options left, arb. estimate, Trade Chips in Red):
Save Roster Spot: CF Rodriguez
40-man minimum contract: CF Schill(2), LF/RF Messer(2), LF/RF Benavides(3), LF/RF Oatley(0), LF/RF Mah
40-man arbitration: LF/RF Ferguson(2, $2.3M)
Rule 5 eligible: LF/RF Nicholson

Logjam. Oatley, Benavides, Ferguson, Messer, Mah. Five hitters for two corner outfield slots. Ignacio Benavides has been glowing white against LHP, batting .368-2-12 .948OPS in 26 games, and I kinda want the kid to play in left has he is defensively better than Ferguson… who is the 2019 RotY. Ian Messer is the best left handed hitter in the bunch and the best defender in right field… Oatley is the odd man out with no options left I guess… we would need a DH slot open to clear this, or trade another one…

Prospect Watch:
#2 R CF Tyler Dean(5*) .196-6-13 .578OPS 39G 1.9WAR
#9 A LHSP Brett Asselin(4*) 3-18 4.15 119K 143.0IP 28GS 0.0WAR
#12 AAA SS Julian Hernandez(4*) .227-11-45 .608OPS 107G 15/17SB 2.1WAR
#46 R LF Santiago Rodriguez(4*) .221-14-32 .683OPS 91G 5.6WAR
#60 R SP Alejandro Corral(3*) 8-8 1.48 153K 146.1IP 4.7WAR
#63 R 1B Joe Townsend(4*) .250-3-5 .790OPS 12G 0.9WAR broken bone in elbow 8-9 weeks
#78 R SP Matt Porter(3.5*) 5-13 1.39 161K 155IP 28GS 3.8WAR
#96 A 3B Will Alfaro(2.5*) .186-6-27 .498OPS 105G -0.9WAR

Unranked, yet promising:
AAA SP Juan Miranda(3*) 11-8 3.94 131K 162IP 32G/27GS 2.9WAR
AAA RHRP Kevin Cowden(3.5*) 3-7 32SV 4.09 65K 50.2IP -0.2WAR
AA LHRP Joe Herzer(3*) 3-3 27SV 2.85 67K 60IP 1.9WAR
AA RHRP Bill Bell(3*) 1-4 2SV 2.82 39K 38.1IP 1.1WAR
AA 1B Dave Grochowski(3*) .262-5-14 .745OPS 125G 3.1WAR

The guys that are hot for the NMLB roster are listed above and the others are developing nicely. Why Julian Hernandez dropped from #4 to #12… don’t tell me, I don’t want to know.
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