View Single Post
Old 03-04-2025, 01:33 PM   #2123
FuzzyRussianHat
Hall Of Famer
 
Join Date: Dec 2020
Posts: 2,946
2027 BSA Hall of Fame

Beisbol Sudamerica’s 2027 Hall of Fame ballot lacked many impactful debuts outside of 3B Pedro Gutierrez, who fell short of the 66% threshold with 55.6%. This allowed two returning pitchers to make it across the line, both on their third ballots. Oliverio Garza got the healthy bump up to 82.3%, while Ulisses Natividad barely made it in at 67.1%. No one else was above 50%, although three players that were on their tenth and final chance got above the 1/3 mark.



The highest of that group was SP Uriel Navas at 49.4%, which was just short of his ballot peak. He won Pitcher of the Year in 2003 and three Gold Gloves in a 13-year run with Santiago, finishing with a 181-130 record, 3.04 ERA, 2909.1 innings, 3018 strikeouts, 414 walks, 120 ERA+, and 68.5 WAR. Injuries kept him from really racking up the tallies, but Navas’ resume was comparable to the two inductees in 2027. He had them both beat in ERA as well, but was perhaps overlooked as Santiago was forgettable in most of his run.

Another pitcher dropped was TJ Jaimes, who won 2004’s Pitcher of the Year and had two Gold Gloves over 13 seasons for Quito. He peaked at 44.4% in 2023 and was below 10% thrice before ending at 39.8%. Jaimes had a 185-134 record, 3.54 ERA, 2846.1 innings, 2804 strikeouts, 521 walks, 115 ERA+, and 56.7 WAR. His resume was a somewhat worse version of Navas, but again wasn’t that far removed from both 2027 inductees. Both Jaimes and Navas have a fair gripe to ask why they missed out if both Garza and Natividad made it in? Sometimes, it comes down to timing and vibes.

Antonio Munoz also fell off after ten years, suffering the same fate of all previous top shelf BSA catchers. He peaked at 42.0% in 2023 and ended with 36.3%. Over 14 years mostly with Cordoba, Munoz won six Silver Sluggers, one Gold Glove, and was a 12-time All-Star with 1865 games, 1769 hits, 855 runs, 283 doubles, 307 home runs, 934 RBI, .286/.352/.491 slash, 138 wRC+, and 74.0 WAR.

As of 2037, Munoz is 6th in WAR among BSA catchers. Yet again though, BSA voters decided there hadn’t been a single catcher worthy over nearly a century of history. It would take Cicero Lugo, arguably the greatest catcher in all of baseball history, to finally break that drought.



Oliverio Garza – Starting Pitcher – Asuncion Archers – 82.3% Third Ballot

Oliverio Garza was a 6’2’’, 200 pound right-handed pitcher from Clemencia, Colombia; a town of about 14,000 people in the country’s north. Garza had outstanding stuff in his prime, but his control and movement were both often subpar. He had a five-pitch arsenal with a 96-98 mph fastball along with a changeup, forkball, slider, and curveball. All five options were generally equally potent when Garza was on his game.

Compared to other BSA aces, Garza’s stamina was unremarkable and you didn’t get a ton of complete games from him. His durability was typically solid though so you’d get a full workload from Garza. He was average at holding runners and generally good defensively.

Garza was spotted in the wild by Asuncion and signed to a developmental contract in November 1995. He spent most of the next six years in their academy in Paraguay, although he did make five relief appearances between 2000-01. It was hard to break in as the Archers were in the midst of a Southern Cone League dynasty run. Garza did pitch 0.2 scoreless in relief in the 2001 run as Asuncion won its first-ever Copa Sudamerica with a 110-52 campaign.

In 2002, Garza started most of the year with okay results, earning a full-time rotation spot after that. Asuncion won three more division titles from 2002-04, but couldn’t make it out of the divisional series. In 2004, Garza posted his best season by WAR at 6.0. He and the team both fell off significantly in 2005 with a 64-98 campaign, but both bounced back. The Archers would take five more division titles from 2006-10.

Asuncion won its second Copa Sudamerica in 2006 as the bottom seed, beating Caracas in the finale. They lost in the Southern Cone League final in 2007 to Salvador and never made it back in the next three years. Garza’s playoff stats were relatively average with a 3.32 ERA over 86.2 innings, 34 record, 84 strikeouts, 109 ERA+, and 0.6 WAR.

2007 was Garza’s lone time as a Pitcher of the Year finalist, taking second. He led the league with career highs in wins (20-6) and quality starts (26) and posted his best ERA mark at 2.12. Garza never quite matched that level again and was usually considered to be just above average. After the 2009 season, Asuncion gave him a four-year, $37,700,000 extension.

The run was over with the Archers retreating towards the mid-tier for the 2010s. Garza did have one more highlight with a no-hitter against Salta on August 30, 2012 with 13 strikeouts and two walks. In total for Asuncion, Garza had a 158-127 record, 3.39 ERA, 2749 innings, 2893 strikeouts, 690 walks, 107 ERA+, and 43.4 WAR. For his role in the franchise’s first sustained success, Garza’s #25 uniform was eventually retired.

Garza was a free agent for the first time in 2014 at age 34 and signed a one-year, $5,700,000 deal with reigning cup champ Fortaleza. He had a 3.10 ERA and 270 strikeouts with 3.8 WAR, helping the Foxes repeat as Southern Cone champs. They fall in a Copa Sudamerica rematch with Medellin. Garza was iffy in the postseason with a 5.03 ERA over 35 innings. He didn’t fare much better in the Baseball Grand Championship with a 5.33 ERA over 27 innings. Fortaleza would finish 9-10 in the event.

This briefly ended Garza’s time in Beisbol Sudamerica, as not many teams were interested in him as a free agent. He ended up moving to West African Baseball on a three-year, $18,300,000 deal with Niamey. Garza did still come home to his native Colombia for the World Baseball Championship. From 2011-19, he had a 3.23 ERA over 69.2 innings, 4-2 record, 109 strikeouts, and 0.8 WAR.

Garza was middling in 2015 for the Atomics and struggled to start 2016, finishing with a 5.87 ERA over 228.1 innings with 267 strikeouts and 2.4 WAR for Niamey. He was traded in July 2016 to Cape Verde and had a decent second half, but this ended his WAB run after two years. Garza put feelers out for a BSA return and Manaus gave him a one-year, $4,640,000 deal.

He had a nice return with the Magpies at age 37, getting 4.4 WAR over 259 innings with a 3.82 ERA and 266 strikeouts. Manaus earned its first-ever playoff berth, but lost in the divisional round. Garza signed with Caracas for 2018 at $5,800,000 and got his 200th win and 3500th strikeout. Maturin then took him for 2019 at $5,900,000 but only used him in 29 innings. Garza retired that winter at age 40.

In BSA, Garza had a 209-149 record, 3.45 ERA, 3471 innings, 3661 strikeouts, 875 walks, 285/461 quality starts, 76 complete games, 23 shutouts, 106 ERA+, 94 FIP-, and 54.6 WAR. As of 2037, Garza ranks 55th in wins, 44th in strikeouts, and 51st in innings pitched. However, he doesn’t crack the top 100 in WAR among pitchers and the rate stats had him below almost all previous BSA Hall of Famers. Only two prior inductees had a worse ERA and only one starter had a lower WAR tally.

Supporters pointed to Garza’s longevity and his role in Asuncion’s success. 200+ wins and 3500+ strikeouts weren’t magic numbers, but close to it with very few guys missing the cut if they hit either mark. The traditional mindset was favored by many BSA voters which helped Garza, even if Sabermetrics were underwhelmed.

He barely missed the 66% requirement with 65.1% and 64.4% in his first two ballots. With limited debuts of note in 2027, Garza got a hefty bump to 82.3% to secure a third ballot induction into the Beisbol Sudamerica Hall of Fame. While some scholars argue he’s one of the weaker inclusions by advanced stats, Garza has his spot and plaque regardless.



Ulisses Natividad – Starting Pitcher – Guayaquil Golds – 67.1% Third Ballot

Ulisses Natividad was a 6’5’’, 205 pound right-handed pitcher from Manta, Ecuador; a city with about 258,000 people on the Pacific coast with the country’s largest seaport. Natividad was well-rounded with good-to-great stuff, movement, and control. His fastball regularly hit the 98-100 mph range and was his best offering along with his splitter. Natividad also had a decent screwball and a rarely used changeup in the arsenal.

Compared to most BSA aces, Natividad’s stamina was below average. Recurring back troubles also limited his innings over a 15-year career. Natividad had an excellent pickoff move and was considered a solid defensive pitcher. Despite his talent, some coaches and peers did get frustrated with Natividad’s selfishness and poor work ethic.

Natividad was one of the top Ecuadoran prospects ahead of the 2003 BSA Draft, which caught the attention of Guayaquil. The Golds picked him 14th overall, but he wasn’t given a prominent role right away. Natividad saw 14 relief appearances in 2004, then an increased bullpen role with 54 games in 2005. Natividad had a part-time starter role in 2006, then finally earned a full-time rotation slot from 2007 onward.

2007 would be the first of eight seasons worth 6+ WAR for Natividad. His ascension helped Guayaquil to a competitive run with six playoff berths from 2008-14 and three division titles. The Golds couldn’t get over the playoff hump though with their deepest runs being Bolivar League Championship Series defeats in 2009 and 2010. Guayaquil would fall in the divisional series in their other appearances during that stretch.

2011 was Natividad’s best effort, earning his lone Pitcher of the Year with career and league bests in WAR (9.4), and quality starts (24). He also posted his highest strikeout total (290) and full season ERA (2.61). Natividad wasn’t a POTY finalist again, but he notably won the ERA title in 2013 at 2.64 and was the 2015 WARlord at 8.9. Natividad did notably have a setback in 2014 with an arthritic elbow costing him most of the second half.

Guayaquil re-signed Natividad on a four-year, $46,400,000 extension after the 2015 season. The Golds remained above .500 but outside the playoffs from 2015-16. They had one last shot with Natividad in 2017, but lost the BLCS in an upset to Maturin. Guayaquil would be below .500 for the rest of Natividad’s tenure.

On the whole, Natividad was solid in the playoffs with stats that closely mirrored his regular season career tallies. Over 13 playoff starts, Natividad had a 3.06 ERA, 5-4 record, 97 innings, 110 strikeouts, 132 ERA+, and 2.1 WAR. Natividad also was a regular for Ecuador in the World Baseball Championship from 2006-19 with 34 appearances, 24 starts, and 171.1 innings. He had a 3.57 ERA, 10-7 record, 200 strikeouts, 45 walks, 101 ERA+, and 3.2 WAR.

Injuries kept Natividad out for a chunk of 2018, although he was still effective when healthy. He had a sudden steep regression in 2019 with a 5.83 ERA over 66.1 innings, eventually getting benched. Natividad retired that winter at age 38 and Guayaquil quickly retired his #23 uniform for his 15 years of service.

Natividad had a 192-110 record, 3.08 ERA, 2761.2 innings, 2804 strikeouts, 399 walks, 231/350 quality starts, 76 complete games, 15 shutouts, 132 ERA+, 71 FIP-, and 79.8 WAR. As of 2037, Natividad ranks 90th in wins and 51st in WAR among pitchers, but misses the other accumulation top 100s. His rate stats are fairly favorable compared to other Beisbol Sudamerica Hall of Famers, but the counting stats were on the low end.

On the 2025 ballot, Natividad debuted with 61.9%. He dipped very slightly to 59.3% in 2026. Natividad didn’t grow a ton in 2027, but he got just enough to reach 67.1%. That crossed the 66% requirement for the third ballot induction as the fourth and final member of BSA’s 2027 class.
FuzzyRussianHat is offline   Reply With Quote