View Single Post
Old 03-24-2025, 06:42 AM   #14
squirrel
Minors (Rookie Ball)
 
Join Date: Oct 2018
Posts: 31
Quote:
Originally Posted by Guthrien View Post
squirrel, I cannot wait to try the new system. Having a new one was very overdue, and let's face it, is a lot of fun. I hope you continue with OOTP, your videos are a breath of fresh air and I like when the "vets" do theory work too in-between their playthroughs.

I was making some very beginning notes towards making one based off of 4 full seasons and 6 careers of different sorts of pitchers (ie. not enough).
- I used 20/80, not internal stats because it's too hard to export those. I failed to remember the uber-ratings and need to adjust.
- I wanted to account for development of prospects by age. Probably not a good idea for multiple reasons, and it doesn't yet have aged decline. So, several dead ends or complications. I look forward from learning from your 'book'.

https://docs.google.com/document/d/1...it?usp=sharing
Hey man thanks for this.

In OOTP 24 I had a bit of extra logic going on to see whether a position player draft prospect has an OPS+ 'on track' for their age i.e. whether their current ratings made sense vs their age.

I've left the calc in the code - and in fact I forgot to mention this in the changelog above but in this v2 I've added back into the outputs an extra column called Tpct which attempts to cover this...the idea is that 1.00 indicates a player is 100% on track to be a MLB-level player, 0.9 means 90% on track, 1.10 means 110% on track and so on.

The idea behind this is to cool the jets when I see a 20/75 prospect in the fifth round and when you look closely the player is age 19 and apparently won't have a bat ready to compete in rookie ball level for another four years or so. Still might take the player, but just have that slightly better grounding on what I'm looking at.

I'm hesitant to recommend this to others for now because I haven't used it for many drafts - and it relies on a load of hard-coded numbers for (1) player OPS+ projection growth % at each age, on average and (2) what OPS+ I expect from a 21 year old MLB-calibre prospect at each position. I can't imagine these will vary that much between OOTP 24 and 26, but they might. At first glance in my first handful of OOTP 25 drafts it looks useful in its current form.

Last edited by squirrel; 03-24-2025 at 06:54 AM.
squirrel is offline   Reply With Quote