NMLB News Flash: First-Year Player Draft
stadiumreport.bbn July 11th, 2022
San Diego,
Montreal,
Los Angeles,
Kansas City and
Washington have the opportunity to really make some organization-altering changes today. Their GMs have been huddled around the conference room all night, playing over scenarios with the scouting staff, arguing out the merits of every possible scenario they can fathom. Who they pick might set their clubs up for ten years of quality baseball or it might mean ten years of languishing as an also-ran. BNN experts have concluded that these ten young men should be picked at the top of the draft:
1.
Eric Jenkins, 21 year-old 3B out of college.
2.
Jeff Ritter, 18 year-old 2B out of high-school.
3.
Bryan Booth, 21 year-old SS out of college.
4.
Julio Lopez, 18 year-old LHP out of high-school.
5.
Chris Ward, 21 year-old 2B out of college.
6.
Clay Kearin, 21 year-old CF out of college.
7.
Bill Beaverson, 22 year-old SS out of college.
8.
D.J. Cleveland, 18 year-old 1B out of high-school.
9.
Nate Fling, 19 year-old RHP out of college.
10.
Eric Plew, 18 year-old RHP out of high-school.
The
San Diego Padres are on the clock…
1st Round, 1st Pick(1st overall)
San Diego Padres select RHSP
Nate Fling(19, 4*) out of Northwest Florida State College (JuCo)
Fair Competition: 11-1 1.98 118K 16GS 109IP 4.3WAR
Signability: Very Easy, Bonus Demand: Slot
Injury Proneness: normal
Personality:
Adaptability, Work Ethic, Financial Ambition
They went there. The kid will have his 20th birthday the day after tomorrow and looks like a prototypical splitter based pitcher with good groundball tendencies and a very solid personality. The safest pick you could make here if you want a pitcher…
Which means, we are on the clock… and I could exhale for a second as the guy I decided to take was still on the board…
1st Round, 2nd Pick(2nd overall)
Montreal Expos select 2B/3B/SS/LF
Bryan Booth(21, 4*), out of San Jose State University
Fair Competition: .323/.379/.645 23HR 85RBI 69G 4.1WAR
Signability: Easy, Bonus Demand: $5M
Injury Proneness: normal
Personality:
Adaptability
The best thing about this pick is that my owner can’t solely blame me for that pick as he was an active part of the decision making process here. In short, if he develops the way he hope he will,
Bryan Booth has a job waiting for him in the infield in 2024.
Booth can play multiple positions very well and especially the defence in the infield is even better. His baserunning won’t win you a leadoff spot, and his bat projects more as a power bat at 65 potential. Which is exactly what I like and where our minor league system lacks ONE guy. More on that below after the draft.
1st Round, 3rd Pick(3rd overall)
Los Angeles Angels
select 2B/3B/SS/OF
Bill Beaverson(22, 4* HS, 4* OSA) out of San Jose State University
Good Competition: .294/.379/.606 18HR 66RBI 62G 3.2WAR
Signability: Easy, Bonus Demand: $4M
Injury Proneness: normal
Personality:
Loyalty, Work Ethic, Leader, Financial Ambition
There is a lot to like about
Beaverson. With a 70 rated contact bat, 65/70/65/70 in the baserunning department, and the ability to field six positions, albeit short and centerfield a bit iffy, the only risk is that at age 21, 8 days from 22, his bat may not fully develop due to his age. But apart from that, he has ‘can’t miss’ all over him for me. A clubhouse leader, good work ethic, very competitive… He came in a close second on our big board as I loved the versatility and the ability to leadoff, but I have doubts about the odds of him fully developing his bat.
1st Round, 4th Pick(4th overall)
Kansas City Royals select LHSP
Julio Lopez(18, 5* HS, 4.5* OSA) out of Dewey HS
Average Competition: 10-0 0.51 201K 14GS 106.0IP 9.0WAR
Signability: normal, Bonus Demand: $8.5M
Injury Proneness:
Durable
Personality: Unknown
Throwing 92-94 with a neutral GB/FB tendency,
Lopez features strong control with a fastball, slider, changeup and cutter, and especially the changeup is tagged with 70 potential, but also the least developed pitch, making this a risky pick nearly age 19 as he is a HS senior. His stamina is good with 65 and there are no negatives, or positives on his personality. He was Dave G.’s recommendation with our pick, but I went the other way. Good pick at #4 tho.
1st Round, 5th Pick(5th overall)
Washington Nationals select 3B
Eric Jenkins(21, 3.5* HS, 3* OSA) out of Northwestern University
Great Competition: .280/.366/.557 20HR 66RBI 72G 3.1WAR
Signability: Normal, Bonus Demand: $5.36M
Injury Proneness: normal
Personality:
Intelligence
A bit more down on our big board,
Jenkins is a projectable college bat that won’t blow you away with his third base defence, but is a good overall hitter that pretty much should do what is college stats suggest, with a bit less power.
1st Round, 6th Pick(6th overall)
San Francisco Red Devils select RHSP
Alan Holden(21, 4* HS, 3.5*) out of Angelo State University
Fair Competition: 7-3 3.01 111K 15GS 98.2IP 3.2WAR
Signability: Normal, Bonus Demand: $4M
Injury Proneness:
Durable
Personality:
Adaptable
Control is an issue for him with a 50 potential, and his bread and butter is offspeed stuff with a 75 grade curve and a 70 grade changeup that is still work in progress. With his pitches, he generates a lot of groundball outs. Stamina is capped at 50, but overall, he is fairly good developed with already a full star of overall, could develop quickly and pitch in 2 years in NMLB. Solid pick here.
1st Round, 7th Pick(7th overall)
San Francisco Red Devils select select RHSP
Jason Dawson(18, 4.5* HS, 5* OSA) out of Tahanto Regional HS
Average Competition: 7-2 1.20 137K 13GS 89.2IP 5.7WAR
Signability: Extremely Hard, Bonus Demand: $9M
Injury Proneness:
Fragile
Personality:
Intelligence ,
Financial Ambition, Adaptability
With their compensation pick, SF doubled up on pitching, which could be a good move… but I don’t really dig his injury proneness. Fastball, slider, changeup and sinker in his arsenal, and average stamina(50). 60 rated through the board in stuff, movement, and control with neutral tendency and 91-936mph on the heater, the scouting report is not bad… apart from the stamina and the injury proneness.
1st Round, 8th Pick(8th overall)
Calgary Beavers select SS
Adrian Hinsch(18, 3.5* HS, 3* OSA) out of TCU
Average Competition: .434/.493/.687 6HR 49RBI 41G 3.7WAR
Signability: Normal, Bonus Demand: $7.5M
Injury Proneness:
Fragile
Personality:
Intelligence
Not on anyone’s top 10 list and a surprise for me as we did not like the injury proneness and the low IQ to be honest. Defence is elite and the bat projects as a solid .280 hitter with some nice extra base hits, but the red flags were too red, and the $7.5M demand for that package.
1st Round, 9th Pick(9th overall)
Vancouver Canadians select 2B
Jeff Ritter(18, 4.5* HS, 5* OSA) out of Kenyon-Wanamingo HS
Average Competition: .438/.498/.836 13HR 55RBI 41G 4.7WAR
Signability: Extremely Hard, Bonus Demand: $6.5M
Injury Proneness: normal
Personality:
Financial Ambition, Work Ethic
The big “first base projection” hitters are dropping… makes me think we may have made the right call. 65 power and contact potential with below average defence, but the ability to steal a base. Will be interesting to see how he develops.
1st Round, 10th Pick(10th overall)
Atlanta Minuteman select RHSP
Eric Plew(18, 4*) out of Dallas Lutheran HS
Average Competition: 9-0 0.70 121K 12GS 90IP 5.6WAR
Signability: Hard, Bonus Demand: $6M
Injury Proneness: normal
Personality:
Financial Ambition
The lesser splitter pitcher goes off the board here, still a good pick if he can get the 65 rated control and 65 rated splitter going.
At that time, off our big board, 1B
D.J. Cleveland, 2B
Bill Bissett, 1B
Tyler Aurand and a glut of 4* potential guys were still there… and
Aurand and
Cleveland were considered by us big time…
Bissett went 12th overall,
Cleveland 16th and
Aurand… well…
Rest of the draft:
2nd Round, 2nd Pick(41st overall)
Montreal Expos select 1B
Tyler Aurand(18, 4* HS, 5* OSA) out of Cypress Bay High School
Average Competition: .435/.470/.875 17HR 60RBI 37G 4.1WAR
Signability: Extremely Hard, Bonus Demand: Slot
Injury Proneness: normal
Personality:
Loyalty, Work Ethic, Intelligence
Getting him here makes me think that the kid is a bust, but with the scouting reports of Dave G., the OSA and the blue chip personality, I decided to not pass up on him. As mentioned a number of times 75-80 power potential. We may have won the lottery here.
3rd Round, 2nd Pick(73rd overall)
Montreal Expos select LHSP
Chris Alberti(18, 3.5*) out of Lynn University
Average Competition: 7-2 1.26 164K 93IP 12GS 6.0WAR
Signability: Extremely Hard, Bonus Demand: $750k
Injury Proneness: normal
Personality:
Loyalty
Throwing 92-94 with a changeup and a splitte, the lefty was the recommendation of Dave G. and I complied here without much fuss. The kid can go deep into games, his stuff can become elite and the only drawback is his low control and movement potential(50 each). This is the risk that the other teams probably shied away from.
4th Round, 2nd Pick(98th overall)
Montreal Expos select RHRP
Josh Reinke(18, 3.5* HS, 3* OSA) out of Columbus High School
Average Competition: 4-0 13SV 0.81 75K 44.2IP 20G/1GS2.2WAR
Signability: Extremely Hard, Bonus Demand: Slot
Injury Proneness: normal
Personality:
Loyalty, Adaptability, Intelligence,
Financial Ambition
Another Dave G. recommendation, the righty has a 95-97mph heater with a slider that mind boggles people. The movement may lack from time to time, but the stuff looks impressive, so I went along.
5th Round, 2nd Pick(128th overall)
Montreal Expos select CF
Dusty Eckel(17, 3* HS, 4.5* OSA) out of Vandegrift HS
Average Competition: .457/.495/.749 10HR 52RBI 39G 3.9WAR
Signability: Extremely Hard, Bonus Demand: $480k
Injury Proneness: normal
Personality:
Work Ethic
Dave G. didn’t like this one but I had some scouting reports from independent scouts that profile the kid as a 60-75 graded outfield defender with 70 power potential. Probably an inflated image that was waved in front of me, but I decided to take the risk here.
6th Round, 2nd Pick(158th overall)
Montreal Expos select RHRP
Jay Morgan(18, 3* HS, 5* OSA) out of University of Illinois
Average Competition: 4-1 0SV 1.06 103K 59.1IP 13G/8GS 3.8WAR
Signability: Extremely Hard, Bonus Demand: Slot
Injury Proneness: normal
Personality: Unknown
Another one that Dave G. wasn’t super fond of, but my sources put him at a 50/80 rated fastball already with a dynamite changeup and above average control.
7th Round, 2nd Pick(188th overall)
Montreal Expos select OF
George Cooper(18, 3*) out of Florida Atlantic University
Average Competition: .402/.474/.823 16HR 51RBI 38G 3.9WAR
Signability: Extremely Hard, Bonus Demand: $450k
Injury Proneness: normal
Personality:
Leader
Slugging outfielder that projects well at the corners with a 70 grade power potential. The question is, will he hit over .200 at the NMLB level. Not a great defender either.
8th Round, 2nd Pick(218th overall)
Montreal Expos select RHSP
Taylor Jackson(19, 2.5* HS, 3.5* OSA) out of Living Faith HS
Average Competition: 10-1 1.56 138K 109.1IP 15GS 5.6WAR
Signability: Extremely Hard, Bonus Demand: slot
Injury Proneness: normal
Personality:
Financial Ambition
Not a super flashy arm, but has some untapped control potential to become a
Sam Griffin type arm. Good stamina and four solid pitches.
9th Round, 2nd Pick(248th overall)
Montreal Expos select LF
Ian Andreassi(18, 3* HS, 3.5’ OSA) out of Santa Cruz HS
Average Competition: .404/.475/.759 11HR 46RBI 32G 3.1WAR
Signability: Extremely Hard, Bonus Demand: $470k
Injury Proneness: normal
Personality:
Loyalty
70 grade power. That is what got us interesting. Nothing else to see here.
10th Round, 1st Pick(277th overall)
Montreal Expos select C
Gary Flynn(21, 2.5*) out of East Carolina University
Average Competition: .275/.332/.443 11HR 57RBI 60G 1.2WAR
Signability: Normal, Bonus Demand: slot
Injury Proneness: normal
Personality:
Adaptability, Financial Ambition
Solid defensive catcher that can hit some. Depth signing.
Now, about that
Bryan Booth pick. I went through the lineup projections for 2024 and 2025.
C
Gabriel Cervantes – SAFE
1B
Dave Grochowski – SAFE
2B
Meilleur/
Kazemd/
Weltzer
3B
Julian Hernandez - #13 prospect AAA
SS
Fernando Perez – AA 70 grade power potential
LF -
Ignacio Benavides – SAFE
CF
Tyler Dean/
Vicente Rodriguez
RF
Santiago Rodriguez – #30 prospect A-ball
DH
Ian Messer(L)/
Matt Talbert(R)
The one position where I was kinda meh was the middle infield position vacated by
Meilleur/
Kazemd/
Weltzer.
Bryan Booth could be the solution here. Cross fingers now that we didn’t mess that pick up.