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Old 04-15-2025, 11:28 AM   #20
squirrel
Minors (Rookie Ball)
 
Join Date: Oct 2018
Posts: 31
Posting below an attempt to value defensive ratings using runs saved. I haven't built this into my projection system yet, but I intend to.

This is calculated as follows:

1. I built a two-team league with everyone 50 rated (on the 1-250 scale I took that as 101 and on the 1-600 scale 404). The idea as to make everyone the same and everyone about average. All players on Team A and Team B are based on two templates, 'clone hitter' and 'clone pitcher'.

2. I ran 100k games in the simulation engine between Team A and Team B to identify the runs scored per game, and per 162 games, by each team

3. I then varied ONE player on Team A with defensive attributes. So make the player the catcher and varied framing from 50 to 55. On the 1-250 scale that was a move from 101 to 118.

4. I then reran the 100k simulation and logged the number of runs saved by the team with the better catcher, per 162 games played.

5. I then did this for every defensive metric. The summary of all of this is in the table below


Last edited by squirrel; 04-15-2025 at 11:35 AM.
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