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There seems to be some confusion that different people’s tests are producing different results, but that’s not really the case. The results are actually remarkably consistent:
- Players with 1 current / high potential (e.g., 500–600) perform way better than they should in AAA.
- Players with 1 current / 1 potential get obliterated, as expected.
- Players with 1 current / moderate potential fall somewhere in between.
- The same 1/600 player performs terribly in MLB.
This confirms the key point: potential ratings are overly influencing statistical output in the minors, but not in the majors.
That’s the problem. Not whether the test used a real draft class. Not whether the scenario is “realistic.” The tests isolate the engine behavior and the behavior is broken.
Last edited by jpeters1734; 06-23-2025 at 12:40 PM.
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