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This has been a very interesting discussion. As a stats-only player (while also relying on the written scouting reports) I haven't actually seen a player rating in at least four OOTP versions now. So, I was blissfully unaware there is a disparity between potential/current ratings and on field performance in the current game iteration. From the stats only perspective though players promoted from AAA to MLB continue to succeed and fail at about the same rate they always have in previous versions.
Stats only has always been a bit of a crapshoot when evaluating players. To play this way means willingly closing your eyes to a method of evaluating potential. But generally, players that perform above league average continue to perform at higher levels once promoted a little less than half the time. That strikes me as realistic.
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