Quote:
Originally Posted by sixto
It's absolutely critical to note that these scout ratings potential ratings are 100% not data. They are observations. Opinions! I know some will try, but IMO this is not arguable. Bat speed is data. Arm speed, arm angle, home-to-first time, average angle of attack, spin rate, barrel rate: all data. 500 potential power rating? Opinion.
Therefore, at the heart of what we are discussing is this: if minor league baseball players' statistics are influenced by potential ratings, then in fact they are influenced not by data but by somebody's opinions. That is, because Johnny Q. Scout believes that Hubert H. Homerhitter has the potential to hit 40 HR in the majors someday, somehow Johnny Q. Scout's opinion actually manifests in a boost in performance for Hubert in AAA. But not in the majors, where Johnny Q. Scout's opinions suddenly mean nothing. That's what I've gleaned from this discussion.
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Except OOTP doesn't use bat speed, attack angle, barrel rate, etc for current ratings. There is no formula you can use to aggregate this data into one specific number that exactly represents a player's "Current Power" rating. A scout that gives a 20-80 scale rating based exclusively on data, is giving their opinion based on their interpretation of that data, not plugging numbers directly into a formula. If current ability was so easy to deduce based on data then in real life every team would have the exact same evaluation of the current ability of players and prospects given the amount of raw batted ball and pitch data now available.
Whatever "Current ability" means, it absolutely plays differently in different levels of baseball.