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Old 07-01-2025, 02:43 AM   #6
usa_hank
Minors (Single A)
 
Join Date: Jun 2025
Posts: 66
Yep I get it, there's a normalization that the league does based upon the "best" at each position. But that doesn't actually explain why the same card for other teams hits 100 pts better, has an ERA 2 less, etc. And it's not a sample size of one, it's a sample size of several "years" now where I'm comparing my player to the same player in the same year of the same league. It seems highly improbable that these guys are always the worst in the league.

For instance, my Rod Carew is hitting an abysmal .176 right now. Other teams this season: .267, .286, .429 (woah), .244, .310, .248, .288... why is my Carew consistently awful? Last 3 seasons in LD: .216, .246, .229

Then there's Sheffield: my Sheff this year is hitting .213 / 3 HR. Other teams this season in the same league: .277 / 6,. .257/4, .312/4, .270/4. What?! How is my Sheff always the worst in the league, EVERY season?

Let's hit Sale now. 5.96 ERA, 1W / 4L. I don't think I need to read off the list of what he's doing for most other teams. I'm not the worst in the league here, there's one Sale with an 8.49 ERA (yikes). Still, I'm in the bottom 3 of the league where there are...20+ Sales.

I've got competitive players for LD. I've played this game for years, I know how to field a good team. I've even got a better "chemistry" rating than most of the above teams (doubt it really does anything). But here I am with upper echelon players for LD who have consistently (and enormously) underperformed compared to the others in the league. This can't be luck. There's got to be some hidden (random?) field in every card that affects performance. I can't believe there isn't at this point, and somehow I've gotten the worst luck in my draws.

I know this season is a small sample size of 26 games right now, but these numbers are fitting with the last couple of seasons for these cards for me! I just can't anymore...

Quote:
Originally Posted by LeeD View Post
There are probably good years and bad years, but my belief is that there are two other influences. Having second-rate cards means that those cards will be "marked down" at the positions they occupy. If your league has a lot of Griffeys in center field then then the Andrew McCutchens and Eric Davis's and (even worse) Steve Finleys will be extra bad. That would be the algorithm fitting the cards into its stats universe. If Griffey hits a lot then those others have to hit a lot less. The second would be an overall measure of your team in relation to the competition. If your team is noticeably worse than the competition then you should also expect some "extra bad" performances, although I'm not as confident that this is so.

Last edited by usa_hank; 07-01-2025 at 03:05 AM.
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