Quote:
Originally Posted by usa_hank
The start of this topic months ago was because we were talking about a possible hidden field, seasonal modifier, or something. And just seeing the same braindead performances from the same players each season (players that play well for other teams) keeps pointing to something other than repeated random chance. If it's not strategy, it's not catcher, and random chance seems less and less likely, a smart person is going to start using logic and look at repeated patterns to make assessments here. And I'm at that point. Heck, I was at that point months ago when we started this thread, gave it more time, but these performances continue to stack and provide further evidence for that point.
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I know I make mistakes in my lineups and don't do the depths of analysis that some others do who post here.
But if the game acts like players have seasonal modifiers, and I believe it clearly does, I'm going to play like it's a known factor.
I find this easier to do with pitching. I mean, to do it correctly at every position, you need multiple strong cards for each.
The best record team of my 3 this season has lots of pitchers having good years, but Dave Stieb non-variant in High Silver is doing the worst he's done for me in 18 seasons. You can't tell me there's some kind of modifier being applied. 4-11. 4.97 ERA. War 0.3 when he ranged from 1.2 WAR to 4.9 in the last 7 seasons.
Bill Pulsiper is the other side of the coin, 10-7, 3.39 ERA, War 1.6 when he's had multiple War 0.2 seasons very recently.
My LD team actually is getting a good year out of Satchel Paige as a reliever (finally) when everyone else is getting wrecked.
The more I think about it, the more I think we may even want this variance, as frustrating as it is. Because otherwise, wouldn't everything tend towards coin flips between otherwise closely equal teams?
I do wish we could see the factor, if it exists, but I suppose that would make many players unhappy as something they have no control over.