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Old 10-12-2025, 11:54 AM   #236
Griever20
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Location: Dortmund, Germany
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2024 June 1st - State of the Expos

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EL Awards:
Batter of the Month: Detroit 3B Bryce Hansen(25, 3*) .356-6-22 1.040OPS 1.2WAR Traded over from CAL in January
Pitcher of the Month: Chicago RHCL T.J. Hoffman(28, 3.5*) 3-1 7SV 0.59 16K 10.0IP 13G 0.9WAR 2021 EL Reliever of the Year
Rookie of the Month: Blue Jays RF Jose Gutierrez(26, 2.5*) .318-7-18 1.010OPS 1.0WAR Signed as a free agent after getting released by CHI.

WL Awards:
Batter of the Month: Calgary RF Joseph Floris(28, 3*) .297-7-21 .962OPS 1.1WAR 2nd month in a row…
Pitcher of the Month: Calgary RHSP Vicente Segura(26, 3*) 5-0 2.52 29K 35.2IP 0.9WAR Led the WL in losses with 17 last year…
Rookie of the Month: Las Vegas RHSP Victor Macedo(25, 2.5/3*) 3-0 1.74 25K 22.2IP 0.9WAR Solid heater with some upside left.

The last days and the series defeat to the Boston Aeros was humbling for all of us. Boston has consistently outscored us over the first two months and while our pitching has been significantly better, we are only one game ahead right now.

Some things we are struggling with? Left-handed starters. We are 6-9 against southpaws and that is with six right-handed hitters in the starting lineup. We will experiment with seven of those as we will sit Ian Messer(.271-2-5 .702OPS against LHP) for V-Rod(.442-0-6 1.011OPS against RHP) for the month…

What is working well? Tyler Dean and Fernando Perez are leading the league in WAR and home runs. Works for me, the gamble to call up Tyler Dean paid off.

Around the league… can we talk about how insane the Detroit Trains are? They are on pace to make the playoffs for the eleventh straight year. Righty Seth Dykstra(32, 4*, 6-2 2.81 75K 2.1WAR) rebounded from his injury-riddled 2023 and is at least close to his 5x Cy-Young form, and they still hope that LF Victor Munoz(23, 3.5/4*, .237-15-37 .800OPS 1.1WAR) can make another step forward… what a timing for the international amateur free agent signee to come up to lengthen their window. By the way, they have not won a World Series in those ten straight playoff appearances. Their only win was in the inaugural season in 2000.

Pitching:
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DL: RHSP Dan Hinton(24, 4.5*) 3-2 5.02 54K 1.0WAR 6GS torn rotator cuff 13 months, RHSP Austin Roy(26, 3*) DNP torn rotator cuff 4-5 months, LHRP Joe Herzer(26, 3*, 1-0 6.55 27K -0.2WAR) sore shoulder 5-6 weeks

NMBL Montreal Expos Players on the leaderboard:
LHSP Brett Asselin 1.9 WAR – 4th
LHSP Brett Asselin 88K – 1st
LHSP Brett Asselin 28BB – 3rd
LHSP Brett Asselin 3.36 FIP – 5th
LHSP Brett Asselin 10.3 K/9 – 4th
RHSP Juan Miranda 2.70ERA- 5th
RHRP Zach Welborn 16 SV – 4th

For Marty Murrietta, a 5.40ERA month put him down to earth in a hurry… no surprise here. Now, can we talk about a silent hero of this year so far? Lefty Faical Shimoda jumped in as Mendoza, Mannino and now Herzer struggled with injuries, and did a hell of a job as lefty specialist with his 98-100mph heater. He throws an assortment of fastballs with a four-seamer, a sinker and a cutter and somehow is very effective with that. Nice find by our scoting that found him in Brazil (his second nationality is Japanese) and brought him over.

As for the rest of the pen, Ings has a fine FIP and we hope he can rebound from that, but Mitsuyasu Kai… it may just be that the story is over.

Alejandro Corral really did make a good first impression, three wins without getting clobbered and at age 23, room for growth. The other truth is that we will be in trouble if another starter goes down. Our best bet would be righty Ryan Harrison(23, 2.5*, 6-22.88 51K 2.0WAR AAA) and his assortment of junk pitches…

Position Players:
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DL: none

NMBL Montreal Expos Players on the leaderboard:
2B Fernando Perez 18HR – 2nd
2B Fernando Perez 46 RBI – 2nd
2B Fernando Perez .623 SLG – 1st
2B Fernando Perez .978 OPS – 3rd
2B Fernando Perez 2.7WAR – 2nd
CF Tyler Dean 20HR – 1st
CF Tyler Dean .606 SLG – 3rd
CF Tyler Dean .947 OPS – 5th
CF Tyler Dean 3.0WAR – 1st
CF Tyler Dean 40 R – 3rd
DH Matt Talbert 24BB – 5th
1B Dave Grochowski 17 2B – 4th

Led by Perez and Dean, our offense is doing quite well and we are hitting for a very high batting average with some power, albeit only three players with real home run power. The player we are a bit concerned about? Ignacio Benavides. The power is completely gone and he is even worse than his disappointing 2022 season.

Now, calling up our high flying prospect LF Santiago Rodriguez is not an option… he is injured once again (see below).

Another issue? Money will be an issue soon. 2025 is safe, but in 2026 we jump to a predicted $175M of salary, and there are some… in here. Grok $10M, Perez $7.2M, V-Rod $7M, Weltzer $7M, Dean $6.9M (Super 2), Hernandez $6.8M, Meilleur $5.5M, Talbert $4.6M.

We will eventually cut V-Rod and we won’t pay $12.5M for our light-hitting shortstop platoon… that is $20M saved. Alternatively, we get rid of Dan Hinton

Prospect Watch:
AAA LF Santiago Rodriguez(23, 2.5/4*) .239-3-13 .687OPS 24G 4/6SB 0.2WAR #29 - torn quadiceps 2-3 months.
AA SP Mack Faddis(21, 2/3*) 2-4 5.37 42K 0.8WAR 52.0IP 10GS
AA SP Dylan Schilling(23, 2/3*) 4-3 4.08 53K 1.2WAR 57.1IP 10GS #17
A+ SS Bryan Booth(23, 2/4*) .304-2-8 .867OPS 0.7WAR 17G #18
A+ 1B Brad Moody(21, 2/3.5*) .287-3-17 .774OPS 0.0WAR 45G
A+ SP Jorge Ortega(21, 2/3.5*) 4-2 3.66 34K 1.3WAR 51.2IP 10GS #33
A SP Adam LeRoy(19, 1.5/4*) 3-3 3.57 34K 0.9WAR 53IP 10GS #91
S A RHRP Josh Reinke(20, 1.5/4*) 0-1 27.00 1K 2.1IP -0.4WAR
R SS Javier Cordova(17, 1/5*) .350-8-35 1.152OPS 0.6WAR 36G #98
R CF Mauricio Gonsales(16, 1/5*) .363-12-41 1.138OPS 0.9WAR 37G #6
R SP John Slade(19, 2/4.5*) 4-2 3.86 53K 1.3WAR 42IP 8GS #7
R 2B Manny Ramirez(19, 1.5/4*) .323-9-30 .978OPS 1.0WAR 35G #5
R RHRP Jose Herrera(18, 1.5/4*) 0-1 2SV 4.00 7K 0.1WAR 9IP 7G
R RHRP Manuel Sanchez(18, 1.5/4*) 2-0 1SV 3.18 12K 0.3WAR 11.1IP 9G
R SP Matt State(20, 1.5/3.5*) 6-0 4.06 43K 1.5WAR 44.1IP 8GS

Some risers? A+ starter Jorge Ortega got his potential bumped up to 3.5* and All-Year Rookie League starter John Slade, our 1st rounder in 2023, went from 1.5/4* to 2/4.5* and should be in short A, probably A ball next year.

The guys lowering their stock? Santiago Rodriguez is injured again after missing a bunch of games in 2023 and in AA, our scouts still don’t like our offseason acquisition of Dylan Schilling

Oh, another trade acquisition, R-ball lefty Matt State won Pitcher of the Month, 5-0 3.93 30K 34.1IP. At age 20, it’s time for him to move up the ladder tho.
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