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Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Mar 2018
Posts: 3,106
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1975 Draft: Rounds 1 and 2
1st Round, 9th Overall: LHP Tom Brewer
School: Sag Harbor Whalers
Commit School: Waterbury College
1975: 11-0, 114.1 IP, 0.71 ERA, 0.71 WHIP, 17 BB, 175 K
Career: 29-0, 311.2 IP, 0.75 ERA, 0.71 WHIP, 46 BB, 497 K
I already loved the Tom Brewer pick months ago when it happened, and with the college and high school seasons completed, it's now looking even better. Ranked by OSA as the 2nd best player available, and Harry Carr lists him 1st, which means there's a really good chance that not only is he a top-10 prospect, but he's probably going to be our best prospect.
A perfect 29-0 at his New York high school, Brewer was dominant for three seasons, and his junior year was no different. His 0.71 ERA and WHIP were both between his ERAs and WHIPs his first two seasons, while his 175 strikeouts, 114.1 innings, and 7.7 WAR are all personal bests. The way he does it is immense talent, that even with the blinding fog of war from both a new scout and years off, it was able to shine and shine and shine all the way through.
OSA and Carr agree that he's an aces ace, and if I get started talking about him I may not stop. Of course, that's what these are for, so I'll at least try to keep by ramblings to a minimum and my sentences from running on. Armed with four pitches, two of which are already there and two more that can be, three of the four have seemingly unlimited upside. The change, splitter, and sinker can all be elite, and even though his fastball is just average, in the 88-90 range it's still effective. It's not going to get much better, like the other three offerings will, but it's far from what makes him great. Just turned 18, it's the sinker and the off-speed pitches that do the damage, as he keeps the ball on the ground and forces hitters into swinging over his pitches. Not only will this lead to a high groundball rate, low homers, and a ton of strikeouts, but also low pitch counts. His best tool may be his command, as he's gong to avoid keeping pitches over the heart, or far from the zone. When he misses, it is with purpose, and even when he's behind in the count he knows he can get right back in it.
Frankly, the only thing standing between Brewer and becoming an ace is health, as he has no weaknesses and even his development risk is just "Medium" and not lower. Unusual for a high school arm, he also seems pretty well developed, and while I don't plan on having him skip La Crosse I think it's something he'd be able to handle. Rushing him to the big leagues won't do us any good, and we'll do whatever is necessary to make sure he reaches his lofty ceiling. Demanding $16,000, pocket change and nowhere near what I'd give him if he asked, it will be easy to meet his demand and get him in the system once the actual draft happens in mid-July.
2nd Round, 33rd Overall: CF Joe Williams
School: Regis Raiders
Commit School: Richmond State
1975: .459/.623/1.027, 169 PA, 27 2B, 6 3B, 8 HR, 39 RBI, 8 SB
Career: .466/.650/1.033, 570 PA, 87 2B, 22 3B, 25 HR, 122 RBI, 25 SB
Dropping a bit in Carr's draft list, Joe Williams is located about on the list as where we grabbed him, his talent still stood, and I'm still very happy we were able to add a bat of his caliber. Another three year starter, he's an absolute extra base hit machine, with only 10 of his 51 hits this year singles. It's similar for his career, 169 hits that contain 87 doubles, 22 triples, and 25 homers, accounting for nearly 80% of his high school hits.
A gifted slugger, "Smokey" could be an impact outfielder, even if he has to eventually shift from center to a corner. Equipped with unbelievable patience and a professional approach, he makes the most out of it too, as he doesn't waste many swings. If he can hit it, he will, and a lot of times the result goes far. Above average is the floor for his eye, contact, and power, and I'm really curious to see how the extra base hit power evolves with his growth. Will those doubles start turning into homers as he matures, or will he instead be more of an Andy Babel type.
The former is preferred, especially in our park, but as we've seen from Babel so far that's a pretty great floor. There's a lot of similarities between the two, and it almost feels like the perfect comp I didn't know existed when I drafted him. Few strikeouts, lots of hits, and lots of doubles, but the one difference is the walks. Babel doesn't draw many, as while this year's 3.8 BB% is less then half of what he's used to, his career high of 10.9 seems like the low end for Williams. He drew 70 walks in 47 games as a freshman, and while I don't think it's a Tom Lorang level eye, but right now it's look like 100 walk potential, something only guys like him can do. He may not have been the best piece we could have got here, but we definitely need help in the outfield, and there's a good chance he enters our system as our top ranked position player.
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