THE HOT CORNER
Baseball coverage from the inside — Sacramento Prayers and the FBL
By Claude Playball | Baseball Insider & Analyst | Host, "Hot Corner" Podcast
______________________________
July 15 – July 30, 1995 | Games 97–111
______________________________
SEVENTY-EIGHT AND THIRTY-THREE, AND EACH OF THE TOP FOUR STARTERS HAS THIRTEEN WINS
There is a number sitting in the team leaders column at the top of every Hot Corner statistical reference this week, and it is worth pausing on before anything else gets discussed. Andretti, Espenoza, Rubalcava, and Strickler — all four Sacramento starting pitchers — enter August with thirteen wins apiece. Four starting pitchers. Same team. Same win total. All tied at the top of the FBL leaderboard simultaneously.
That has not happened before in any season I have covered. It may not have happened in recent league history. The Hot Corner cannot verify the historical comparison, but the organizational fact is documented: entering August, the Sacramento rotation has four pitchers who share the league lead in wins, and two of them — Rubalcava at 2.29 ERA and Espenoza at 3.05 — are also in the top five league ERA leaders. The Cy Young race is running through Sacramento's starting five and the award conversation begins tonight.
Seventy-eight and thirty-three. The division lead is twenty-one games ahead of Seattle. Edwin Musco returned from his partially torn labrum on July 24th after missing nearly four months. Cody Zeiders beat Sacramento for the third time this season. The Columbus series starts Monday. Here is what happened.
______________________________
DID YOU CATCH THAT GAME? — WHAT THE SCORECARDS SAY
@ Portland, July 15-17 (2-1)
Game One at Portland on July 15th was Strickler at a level of dominance that the offense amplified into an eleven-to-two margin. He went six and two-thirds innings, three hits, two earned runs, ten strikeouts. Hernandez went three for three with a home run, a double, and four runs scored. Marcos hit his sixteenth home run. The final against Larson — who is now five and eleven with a 5.65 ERA in Portland's rotation, a data point the Hot Corner will not stop documenting — moved the record to sixty-nine and twenty-eight.
Game Two on July 16th was Andretti's fourth start in five that ended with a loss despite an ERA line that looked useful. Six and two-thirds innings, nine hits, four earned runs — a Thomas home run in the fifth doing the damage that mattered. The Portland offense scored four against Andretti and Guerra held Sacramento to five hits over five and two-thirds innings. The record fell to sixty-nine and twenty-nine.
Game Three on July 17th belongs in any document about this season's rotation. Rubalcava against Portland: eight and a third innings, two hits, one earned run, one hundred and six pitches. Two hits. Lopez and Rodriguez and MacDonald each homered. The lineup scored eleven while the defense behind Rubalcava produced precisely as many hits as it needed to — which is two, both singles, both harmless — and the final eleven-to-one result moved the record to seventy and twenty-nine.
vs. Nashville, July 18-20 (2-1)
Espenoza on July 18th against Nashville was the version that wins awards — seven and a third innings, two hits, zero runs, nine strikeouts, ninety-five pitches. Zero runs against a Nashville lineup that came in at forty-six and fifty-four with something to prove. Perez and Lopez both homered in the sixth off Rosario. The four-to-nothing final moved the record to seventy-one and twenty-nine and Espenoza's record to twelve and two.
St. Clair on July 19th produced the best individual start of his 1995 season — seven and a third innings, four hits, zero runs, nine strikeouts, ninety-six pitches. His ERA has been hovering in the mid-fours since his return and has been a source of organizational uncertainty about the fifth starter's reliability. This start was the cleanest rebuttal available: zero runs against the same Nashville lineup, the command and the stuff both working simultaneously. His record moved to two and three. The four-to-nothing final was his second consecutive game holding Nashville to zero runs, because Espenoza had done the same thing twenty-four hours earlier. Nashville's lineup scored zero runs in two consecutive games at Cathedral Stadium.
The July 20th eleven-inning loss to Nashville was the version of organizational frustration that long seasons produce. Strickler pitched six and two-thirds innings, allowed a Chavez three-run home run in the second inning, and held long enough for the Sacramento offense to tie the game at four in the bottom of the second. Eleven innings and Benson allowed an Evans single in the top of the eleventh to put Nashville ahead. Guzman closed for Nashville's win. The record moved to seventy-two and thirty.
@ Philadelphia, July 21-23 (2-1)
Game One at Philadelphia on July 21st required ten innings. Andretti started and went six innings of three-run ball — the middle-quality version of Andretti, not excellent, not catastrophic. The offense tied it in the seventh on a Hernandez two-run home run off Royce and then MacDonald delivered a two-run double in the tenth off Holt to end it. Five to three. Medina closed his fourteenth save. The record moved to seventy-three and thirty.
Game Two on July 22nd was Mike Young throwing six and two-thirds innings of one-run, eight-strikeout baseball against the Sacramento lineup. Young entered the game with a 2.87 ERA and confirmed that number's accuracy. Rubalcava gave up two runs on seven hits across seven innings and absorbed the loss, his record falling to twelve and four. One to two. The record moved to seventy-three and thirty-one.
Game Three on July 23rd was Espenoza in the particular configuration that this article's opening paragraph is documenting — seven and a third innings, five hits, one run, six strikeouts. Hernandez drove in two with a double in the fourth. Three to one. Prieto closed an inning and a third. Espenoza moved to thirteen and two. The record moved to seventy-four and thirty-one.
vs. San Jose, July 24-26 (2-1)
The July 24th loss to San Jose coincided with the organizational return of Edwin Musco, purchased from Triple-A Oxnard and inserted into the shortstop position for the first time since mid-April. His debut back produced two hits and one RBI on two at-bats, a quiet return for a player whose labrum recovery consumed the better part of the season. The loss itself — nine to three — fell on St. Clair, who allowed five runs in three innings before the San Jose offense added runs off Scott and Jimenez. Vasquez had three hits and three RBI for San Jose. The record moved to seventy-four and thirty-two.
Game Two on July 25th was the offensive performance the July 24th loss called for — Strickler went seven innings, three hits, one run, ten strikeouts, and the Sacramento lineup scored four runs in the first inning alone off Fuentes. Cruz homered. Lopez homered. Berrios homered. Adams hit a home run in the fourth. Four home runs in the same game from four different hitters against a pitcher who had no business starting a major league game on that afternoon. Seven to two. The record moved to seventy-five and thirty-two.
Andretti on July 26th produced the good version — eight innings, five hits, two earned runs, his thirteenth win. The offense scored six against Bradford. MacDonald drove in two. Rodriguez doubled to drive in a run. Medina closed for one clean inning. Six to two. The record moved to seventy-six and thirty-two.
vs. Charlotte, July 28-30 (2-1)
Rubalcava against Charlotte on July 28th moved to thirteen and four — seven innings, four hits, two earned runs, seven strikeouts — while the offense produced six runs against Sato. Musco went three for four with two doubles in his first multi-hit game back, including an RBI double in the fifth that proved to be the decisive at-bat. Lopez added a two-run double in the fifth. MacDonald homered in the sixth. Medina allowed two runs in the eighth before Lawson closed the final out. Six to five. The record moved to seventy-seven and thirty-two.
July 29th was Cody Zeiders again. Eight innings, four hits, one run. His third outing against Sacramento this season, his third strong performance. Espenoza allowed a Saavedra two-run home run in the third and left with four earned runs allowed in six and a third innings. The five-to-one final produced Espenoza's third loss, moved his record to thirteen and three, and documented Zeiders as the one consistent organizational puzzle the Hot Corner cannot resolve.
Strickler on July 30th threw six and two-thirds innings of one-run ball with six walks — uncharacteristically free passes for a pitcher who typically commands the strike zone — and the offense produced a MacDonald sacrifice fly in the eighth to break a one-to-one tie. Lawson held one and a third innings, Medina closed his fifteenth save, two to one. The record finished at seventy-eight and thirty-three.
______________________________
THE STORIES THAT DEFINE THIS STRETCH
All four starters tied at thirteen wins — the Cy Young picture — The case for Rubalcava remains overwhelming: 2.29 ERA, thirteen wins, one hundred and forty-nine strikeouts, a WHIP that sits below one. He is the best pitcher in baseball. The ERA alone places him fifteen to forty points ahead of every competitor on either league's leaderboard. The two cases that could complicate the award: Charlotte's DeMario Raya at 2.87 ERA and fourteen wins in a career year, and San Antonio's Jorge Rezende at 2.73 ERA and thirteen wins. Neither is making a serious challenge against the numbers Rubalcava is posting. The award is his to lose and he is not losing it.
Strickler's case deserves its own paragraph: league leader in strikeouts at one hundred and sixty-four. Thirteen wins. A 3.51 ERA that reflects the two or three starts where he allowed three home runs in a single game and nothing else. He is the most durable arm on the staff by innings, the most electric in terms of raw strikeout production, and criminally underappreciated in national Cy Young discussion because he shares a rotation with Rubalcava.
Musco is back — The partially torn labrum that put him on the injured list in mid-April was cleared for activity on July 24th. His return box score read two hits, one RBI, zero errors in his first game back at Cathedral Stadium. His July 28th performance — three hits, two doubles — was the first signal that the labrum has healed to something close to full function. The organizational succession plan at shortstop featured Marcos, Lozano, Rodriguez, and various combination arrangements for four months. The plan worked. Now Musco is back and the lineup has its best defensive shortstop in the second half.
Zeiders is a problem with no solution — Three starts against Sacramento this season. Three performances allowing four or fewer hits. The combined line: zero runs across eight innings on July 28th last year — wait, July 29th this year — following two previous dominant outings. Sacramento's lineup against Zeiders in 1995 has produced approximately six hits and one run across twenty-four innings. His overall ERA is 3.71. The explanation that the Hot Corner keeps testing and keeps failing to resolve: something about the way Zeiders releases the ball, some specific visual pattern in his delivery, does not match the recognition process Sacramento's right-handed hitters are running when they face him. If these two organizations meet in October and Zeiders starts a game, the Hot Corner is not confident the result looks different than it has three times this regular season.
Perez is cold in a specific way — The who's cold section lists him at .107 average and zero home runs over his last eight games. Perez has been one of the most consistent run producers on this roster since Opening Day and his August calendar begins with a cold stretch that will need to correct before it becomes a second-half narrative rather than a temporary lull. Hernandez is at seventy-two RBI. Lopez is at sixty-two. Perez is at seventy. The gap between where he was and where the others are remains narrow, but the bat is cold and the hot who's-hot section doesn't include his name.
Medina has fifteen saves and a 1.79 ERA — The conversation about Steve Dodge's shoulder never fully resolved, and Dodge remains on the IL with seven to eight weeks remaining in his timeline. Medina has made that conversation irrelevant through individual excellence. Fifteen saves, 1.79 ERA, not a blown save in his last dozen appearances. The original closer is not coming back at a time that matters for 1995. The closer who replaced him has been better than the organizational baseline required.
Lopez has fifty-three stolen bases and twenty-five home runs — The stolen base crown is his at this pace. The home run total beside it is what makes the case unusual: twenty-five home runs and fifty-three stolen bases at the same time. Lopez is doing something in 1995 that very few players in this league's history have accomplished — combining elite power production with elite speed at the same position in the same season. Nobody is running articles about this. The Hot Corner is.
______________________________
AROUND THE LEAGUE
Columbus is sixty-nine and forty-two with the best record in the American League outside Sacramento, and the road trip starts Monday in Columbus. The Hot Corner has been flagging this matchup since May. The Heaven have beaten Sacramento five of six times this season. Rich Flores is still in their rotation. The Columbus series is the most important regular season assignment remaining in the 1995 calendar.
Detroit is the AL wild card leader at fifty-nine and fifty-two, two games ahead of Charlotte and Seattle — who are both at fifty-seven and fifty-four — with Philadelphia and Brooklyn close behind. The wild card bracket entering August is genuinely competitive and the five-or-six-team cluster that has defined the race since June shows no sign of resolving before September.
In the NL, Milwaukee has won eight straight and entered August on a nine-and-one stretch. San Antonio leads the NL Central at sixty-four and forty-seven. Tucson leads the Desert Division at sixty-three and forty-eight. Los Angeles leads the Pacific at sixty-two and forty-nine. The World Series opponent is taking shape somewhere in that collection of teams.
______________________________
THE INBOX — Questions worth answering
From Gina Fuentes of Sacramento's Land Park neighborhood, a pediatric nurse who has been a Sacramento fan since 1987 and who asks: "With all four starters at thirteen wins, which one actually gets the Cy Young?"
Gina, the answer is Rubalcava and it is not close. Thirteen wins is the same for all four of them right now, but the ERA is the differentiator that makes this a one-horse race. Rubalcava is at 2.29. Espenoza is at 3.05. Strickler is at 3.51. Andretti is at 4.25. The wins column is tied. Every other column is not. The WHIP, the strikeout rate, the ERA — all of them point to Rubalcava as the clear best pitcher on the best rotation in baseball. The most interesting secondary argument is for Strickler, who leads the entire FBL in strikeouts at one hundred and sixty-four. In any other year, that total combined with thirteen wins earns serious Cy Young consideration. In this year, it earns second place on the same staff.
From Kevin Morita of Elk Grove, a high school history teacher who wants to know: "What's the historical case for Musco's significance at shortstop? Is this roster genuinely better with him back?"
Kevin, yes, and here is the honest accounting. Marcos held down the position while Musco was out and produced — sixteen home runs, forty-five RBI, and passable defense while learning the position at the major league level. What Musco brings back that Marcos cannot replicate is the combination of elite defensive range, the throwing arm that scouts called one of the best at the position when healthy, and the specific postseason experience of an ALDS MVP performance last October. The 1994 postseason Musco was hitting .500 with five home runs across the full playoff run. He was the most dangerous bat in the lineup for three consecutive rounds. The Sacramento offense at full health — Lopez, Perez, Hernandez, Rodriguez, Cruz, and now Musco — is deeper than any team in this league has faced since April. Yes, the roster is better with him back. Yes, that matters in October more than it matters in late July.
From Ray Tolliver of Stockton, a retired postal worker who has followed Sacramento since the franchise's second season and who says: "Cody Zeiders. Three times now. Why is nobody else asking about this?"
Ray, they should be. The Hot Corner has been asking about it since Game One of the Charlotte series in June and the answer has not improved. The organizational response to Zeiders appears to be: keep batting right-handers against him because the lineup is built that way, hope the results change. They have not changed. Three outings, three dominant performances, approximately six hits and one run across the collective innings Sacramento has faced him. The specific evidence suggests this is not randomness. Something about his pitch mix produces consistent perceptual failure from the Sacramento lineup. If Charlotte makes the wild card and these two organizations meet in the playoffs, Zeiders starts a game. The preparation that begins now is the relevant organizational task. Send a scout. Watch the delivery. Figure out what the lineup is missing. Three times is a pattern that demands a solution before October.
______________________________
Columbus on the road Monday through Wednesday is the most significant series remaining in the regular season for organizational reasons. Sacramento has won seventy-eight games and leads the division by twenty-one. The Columbus series decides nothing in the standings. It decides everything in the psychological preparation for October. Rubalcava, Espenoza, and Andretti are the probable starters. Flores is in the Columbus rotation. The Hot Corner will be watching every pitch.
Seventy-eight and thirty-three. Forty-five games over .500. The most complete rotation in baseball. Musco back in the lineup. One organizational Zeiders problem that remains unsolved.
Got a question for the mailbag? Find the Hot Corner wherever you get your podcasts.
______________________________
Claude Playball is a baseball insider and analyst and host of the Hot Corner podcast, based in Sacramento, California.