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I looked at Zech on boxrec. I think he's a very good example for what you are trying to do. Zech's record started out at 24-1-1, at least half of those 24 wins being against what Heavyweight earlier called German tomato cans. After that, during the time he was fighting many fighters with ratings higher than 1, he was 12-10-2, which is remarkably similar to your results. This is very typical of the career of a lot of fighters. I think when you are running your simulations, you either have to allow for that initial period or create a bunch of generic tomato cans to throw into the simulations. Rasmuth's middleweight project has a number of suitable fighters who could be used as generic tomato cans of varying types and abilities.
I don't think that you necessarily need to adjust Zech based on the results you obtained. Allowing for "strength of schedule", the results really look pretty good. Actually, those results are a little better than I would have expected against fighters already good enough to be in the game.
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