A Look at Various Ways of Predicting Statistics in OOTP 22

thegoldengod · 04-16-2021, 04:47 PM

I looked at a couple different ways of predicting wOBA for batters in OOTP 22 and thought it might be useful to post a link here for anyone that might be interested.

I primarily looked at predicting wOBA by:

Using ratings directly to predict wOBA
Using ratings to predict the composite events used in wOBA on a per plate appearance rate, and then calculating wOBA from those individual events.
Using ratings to predict those composite events under the theory the OOTP 22 engine uses an order to determining a plate appearance, and then calculating wOBA from those individual events.

I posted the notebook - and underlying data used - on GitHub for anyone to take a gander at if they're interested. It's probably riddled with spelling errors as I am hopped up on antihistamines at the moment, but the underlying code should all check out. Feedback is always appreciated.

MikeS369 · 04-18-2021, 11:50 PM

Are you working on a PhD? I'm sure that is good work but that is way over my head. Impressive.

thegoldengod · 04-19-2021, 03:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MikeS369

Are you working on a PhD? I'm sure that is good work but that is way over my head. Impressive.

No PhD. Just like doing this kind of stuff, and it's kind of my day job. :-)

Ballyhoo · 05-09-2021, 01:56 PM

Hi,

I'm not sure what linear constants to use for woba in OOTP 22. Can you advise?

Weaseltail · 05-10-2021, 08:15 PM

This is great. Thanks so much for doing all the work and sharing it!

04-16-2021, 04:47 PM	#1
thegoldengod Minors (Double A) Join Date: Sep 2018 Posts: 110	A Look at Various Ways of Predicting Statistics in OOTP 22 I looked at a couple different ways of predicting wOBA for batters in OOTP 22 and thought it might be useful to post a link here for anyone that might be interested. I primarily looked at predicting wOBA by: Using ratings directly to predict wOBA Using ratings to predict the composite events used in wOBA on a per plate appearance rate, and then calculating wOBA from those individual events. Using ratings to predict those composite events under the theory the OOTP 22 engine uses an order to determining a plate appearance, and then calculating wOBA from those individual events. I posted the notebook - and underlying data used - on GitHub for anyone to take a gander at if they're interested. It's probably riddled with spelling errors as I am hopped up on antihistamines at the moment, but the underlying code should all check out. Feedback is always appreciated.

04-18-2021, 11:50 PM	#2
MikeS369 All Star Reserve Join Date: Dec 2020 Location: USA Posts: 653	Are you working on a PhD? I'm sure that is good work but that is way over my head. Impressive. Last edited by MikeS369; 04-18-2021 at 11:56 PM.

05-09-2021, 01:56 PM	#4
Ballyhoo Minors (Single A) Join Date: Apr 2021 Posts: 61	Hi, I'm not sure what linear constants to use for woba in OOTP 22. Can you advise?

05-10-2021, 08:15 PM	#5
Weaseltail Minors (Double A) Join Date: Nov 2018 Posts: 127	This is great. Thanks so much for doing all the work and sharing it!