Which is more likely in MLB this season?

ezpkns34 · 03-02-2025, 08:23 PM

Curious how the forum would vote

Amazin69 · 03-02-2025, 11:50 PM

Dodgers only need to slide 15 or so games, I'd think.

A 15 game improvement gets the ChiSox to 56-106.

dsvitak · 03-03-2025, 12:00 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Amazin69

Dodgers only need to slide 15 or so games, I'd think.

A 15 game improvement gets the ChiSox to 56-106.

No kidding. I would hit Mega Millions on one ticket before the ChiSox make the playoffs this year.

low · 03-03-2025, 12:02 AM

The White Sox are bad. Very, very bad. Not a chance. Who's going to challenge LA? The D'backs? Not even close.

mytreds · 03-03-2025, 12:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by low

The White Sox are bad. Very, very bad. Not a chance. Who's going to challenge LA? The D'backs? Not even close.

Try SD

Westheim · 03-03-2025, 01:50 AM

Dodgers are beyond loaded in a crap division. While it would take more than one miracle to get the White Sox to 84 wins or so for the umpteenth wild card, the forces of heaven and hell combined can't make the Dodgers miss Octoberball.

kq76 · 03-03-2025, 03:49 AM

I think it's a lot easier to lose than to win. Sure, there's only a small chance that the Dodgers will miss the PS, but Chicago's odds to make them should be astronomical. BetMGM has them at +1400 and +3000 respectively. I'd guess the difference in the non-betting odds would be even farther apart.

Let's put it another way. CSW had 41 wins last year. How many more would they need to make it this year? KCR and DET tied for the fewest wins to make the PS at 86. So say CSW would need 86 as well, that would mean they'd need to win 45 more games than they did last year. What was the greatest fairly recent turnaround in wins from one year to the next in MLB history? The Dbacks' +35 wins in 1999 when they added Johnson, Finley, and Gonzalez. Did CSW add anyone of that calibre? Nope. In fact, they traded away both of their only two 4+WAR players in Crochet and Fedde. Their farm system has jumped from 18th to 4th, but are any of those players expected to make an impact in the bigs this year? I doubt it. Luis Robert Jr, as good as he can be, can't carry them to the PS.

Meanwhile, what would it take for the Dodgers to miss the PS? Not much, really. Probably just a couple of year-ending injuries to key players early in the season.

low · 03-03-2025, 09:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mytreds

Try SD

Yeah, they suck, too.

View Poll Results: More likely in 2025
White Sox make the postseason	2	13.33%
Dodgers don't make the postseason	13	86.67%
Voters: 15. You may not vote on this poll

03-02-2025, 08:23 PM	#1
ezpkns34 All Star Reserve Join Date: Apr 2010 Posts: 703	Which is more likely in MLB this season? Curious how the forum would vote

03-03-2025, 12:02 AM	#4
low Hall Of Famer Join Date: May 2010 Location: Wisconsin, USA Posts: 5,950	The White Sox are bad. Very, very bad. Not a chance. Who's going to challenge LA? The D'backs? Not even close. __________________ My fictional team logos and uniforms

03-03-2025, 01:50 AM	#6
Westheim Hall Of Famer Join Date: Apr 2012 Location: Germany Posts: 13,074	Dodgers are beyond loaded in a crap division. While it would take more than one miracle to get the White Sox to 84 wins or so for the umpteenth wild card, the forces of heaven and hell combined can't make the Dodgers miss Octoberball. __________________ Portland Raccoons, 89 years of excell-.... of baseball: Furballs here! 1983 * 1989 * 1991 * 1992 * 1993 * 1995 * 1996 * 2010 * 2017 * 2018 * 2019 * 2026 * 2028 * 2035 * 2037 * 2044 * 2045 * 2046 * 2047 * 2048 * 2051 * 2054 * 2055 * 2061 1 OSANAI : 2 POWELL : 7 NOMURA \| RAMOS : 8 REECE : 10 BROWN : 15 HALL : 27 FERNANDEZ : 28 CASAS : 31 CARMONA : 32 WEST : 39 TONER : 46 SAITO Resident Mets Cynic - The Mets from 1962 onwards, here.

03-03-2025, 03:49 AM	#7
kq76 Global Moderator Join Date: Nov 2002 Location: Vancouver, Canada Posts: 11,556	I think it's a lot easier to lose than to win. Sure, there's only a small chance that the Dodgers will miss the PS, but Chicago's odds to make them should be astronomical. BetMGM has them at +1400 and +3000 respectively. I'd guess the difference in the non-betting odds would be even farther apart. Let's put it another way. CSW had 41 wins last year. How many more would they need to make it this year? KCR and DET tied for the fewest wins to make the PS at 86. So say CSW would need 86 as well, that would mean they'd need to win 45 more games than they did last year. What was the greatest fairly recent turnaround in wins from one year to the next in MLB history? The Dbacks' +35 wins in 1999 when they added Johnson, Finley, and Gonzalez. Did CSW add anyone of that calibre? Nope. In fact, they traded away both of their only two 4+WAR players in Crochet and Fedde. Their farm system has jumped from 18th to 4th, but are any of those players expected to make an impact in the bigs this year? I doubt it. Luis Robert Jr, as good as he can be, can't carry them to the PS. Meanwhile, what would it take for the Dodgers to miss the PS? Not much, really. Probably just a couple of year-ending injuries to key players early in the season. __________________ My OOTP Wishlist \| My FAQ List OOTP Wiki \| Your Recommended Team Nicknames, By City (A Crowdsourced Project)

03-02-2025, 11:50 PM	#2
Amazin69 Hall Of Famer Join Date: Nov 2010 Location: Palmetto Pride! Posts: 3,585 Infractions: 0/2 (2)	Dodgers only need to slide 15 or so games, I'd think. A 15 game improvement gets the ChiSox to 56-106.