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#121 | |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Toronto ON by way of Glasgow UK
Posts: 15,629
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More HBP data normalized to a 2430 game ie modern day schedule for the decade 2004-1995
This shows an average of 20 more HBP per year in the AL. That is 1 extra HBP every 121 games played. I'm confident that difference is insignificant statistically and does not support the claim, Quote:
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Cheers RichW If you’re looking for a good cause to donate money to please consider a Donation to Parkinson’s Canada. It may help me have a better future and if not me, someone else. Thanks. “Conservatism consists of exactly one proposition …There must be in-groups whom the law protects but does not bind, alongside out-groups whom the law binds but does not protect.” Frank Wilhoit |
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#122 | |
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Join Date: Feb 2002
Location: Up There
Posts: 15,644
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Quote:
For 2012 the threshold was $178 million while the average club revenue was $226.9 million. Based on that ratio, the luxury tax threshold for 2014 would have been $205.6 million as a result of the growth in average club revenue. In reality the threshold was $189 million. (And that $189 million threshold stays in place through the 2016 season.) One thing to expect in the next CBA is a large jump in the major league minimum salary. The MLBPA seems to try and maintain a relationship between the minimum and average salaries, and the average player salary surged in 2014 but the minimum salary increase is tied to cost-of-living adjustments. A quick back-of-the-envelope calculation suggests a new MLB minimum salary of at least $600,000 for the next CBA. |
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#123 | |
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Join Date: Nov 2010
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Max Scherzer, OTOH, did whimper a bit about how perhaps the DH could protect his delicate little pitcher-body…and then was promptly shamed by his fellow players into walking those comments back. Indeed, I believe it was Adam Wainwright who noted that if Scherzer liked the DH so much, there was a perfectly good offer from the Tigers that he left on the table… Last edited by Amazin69; 05-16-2015 at 04:57 PM. |
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#124 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Toronto ON by way of Glasgow UK
Posts: 15,629
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More data which I submit puts the HBP/DH increase claim to bed.
In the 4 years leading up to the DH the AL averaged 49 more HBP than the NL (normalized to 2430 games). While not statistically significant in itself, those who claim an increase in HBP in the AL due to the DH must account for some or part of that pre-existing difference in their claim. One could speculate that the outside chest protectors worn by AL umpires at that time forced pitchers to throw "high" strikes and higher pitches generally. High pitches are more likely to hit batters in my opinion.
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Cheers RichW If you’re looking for a good cause to donate money to please consider a Donation to Parkinson’s Canada. It may help me have a better future and if not me, someone else. Thanks. “Conservatism consists of exactly one proposition …There must be in-groups whom the law protects but does not bind, alongside out-groups whom the law binds but does not protect.” Frank Wilhoit |
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#125 |
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Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Zürich, Switzerland
Posts: 8,608
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Would not the AL have more PAs?
What is PAs per HBP? |
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#126 | |||||||||
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Get rid of DH in AL: 40% Keep it as it is: 30% Add DH to NL: 29% (no answer, 1%) Adding the DH to the NL was the least-popular of the three options with the fans, and getting rid of the DH was solidly the #1 choice. You could cut the support for repealing the DH by one-quarter, and it would still outpoll the support for expanding it. A separate poll in 2009 (the one Anyone was referring to upthread) by the Associate Press/Knowledge Networks focused on the question of using the DH in the World Series: No DH: 38% All DH: 34% DH only in AL parks (current): 28% Closer, but still no DH preference. Quote:
"I'd just as soon not see it in either league," said Gary Hartwig, a Cubs fan who lives near Hudson, Iowa. "The manager has fewer decisions to make when there's no pitcher hitting. It makes the game more boring." "Most fans" presumably watch athletic events to see athletes. Guys who don't actually compete, over-the-hill-fat-ass-fat-contract guys who hide in the dugout for virtually the entire game, are really not that popular and fans would prefer to see them go, already. Get out of here, Big Crappi! Take your needles and shove them, A-Roid! Fans of a particular team might still support their team's DH, but does anyone outside of Boston give a sh*t about Ortiz? Few, I'd wager. Mike Trout, OTOH… Quote:
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And people like you (perhaps including you) have been making predictions like this year after year after year. And they've been wrong… year after year after year. I guess I should commend your eternal, albeit completely unmerited, optimism…are you a Cubs fan, by any chance? ![]() ![]() Quote:
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As for the World Series, the record since 1976 (when the DH was introduced in the Series) is AL-20 wins, NL-18 wins. Again, no advantage, fair or otherwise, for the NL. Quote:
No, wait, why don't we just put two more players out there, kneeling on the grass on each side in front of the mound, and holding plexiglass shields they can use to protect both themselves and the pitchers? They don't have to bat or anything, it will help us keep Beloved Superstars like Chase Utley in the game even though they can't get around on the fastball any more. Why should a B.S. like Utley be forced to retire because he can't hit any more than B.S. David Ortiz should hang 'em up because he can't field? (Or run…) Let's face it, baseball needs all the B.S. it can get, right? It's brilliant, the union will love it because more players get to start! I even have a name for them: Designated Injury-Prevention Shield-Holding Infield Technicians! It's brilliant, I tell you! D.I.P.S.H.I.T.s now! We have to protect those poor, helpless, weak, brittle, tender, succulent, babies! I mean, pitchers! Save the pitchers! Seriously, what are you…a traditionalist or something? ![]() Last edited by Amazin69; 05-16-2015 at 05:03 PM. |
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#127 | |
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Join Date: May 2009
Location: Lenexa, KS / Wilson, WY
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r e l a x Also, in an edit bound to send you into a crazed fit, your own post states that 59 of every 100 fans favor the DH in some form and the percentage of fans who do not want the DH at all are in what in pretty much any election would be a landslided minority. Last edited by Airdrop01; 05-16-2015 at 05:48 PM. Reason: irony |
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#128 | |
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Join Date: Jul 2014
Posts: 405
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#129 |
All Star Starter
Join Date: May 2009
Location: Lenexa, KS / Wilson, WY
Posts: 1,354
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Venn diagram.
And I don't have a dog in this fight. I'm not even sure what the fight has to do with the post. But it is entertaining I will say that. Last edited by Airdrop01; 05-16-2015 at 06:06 PM. |
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#130 |
Minors (Single A)
Join Date: Jan 2011
Posts: 97
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It is very typical when someone tries so hard to force their argument, even if it is without merit, that they eventually turn to insults.
My opinions come from following baseball for over 50 years. I have wrote graduate level papers on baseball strategy, computer software for statistics tracking, etc. I don't consider myself an expert, but I also don't consider myself an idiot. I was a pitcher through college level competition. I enjoy a good pitching dual, but I also want a fair competition. With a vast majority of pitchers throughout baseball history, this has not been fair. Yes there are exceptions; for every Catfish Hunter there are 100 who have no business standing at the plate against major league pitchers. The DH has been used in most baseball leagues for over 40 years now and no matter how much some people stomp their feet and throw fits it is not going to change. Eventually all of baseball will use the DH as another important position, not some "over-the-hill-fat-ass-fat-contract guys who hide in the dugout for virtually the entire game, are really not that popular and fans would prefer to see them go". In actuality, professional DH players are very popular with their respective teams. |
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#131 | |||||||||||
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(Facts you got wrong last time: • Most fans don't support expanding the DH to the NL • The non-DH league is not a "few remaining holdouts", but rather the majority of the clubs, and the more successful league. •*The NL doesn't have an advantage in interleague play • The NL doesn't have an advantage in World Series play) Quote:
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And it's fair that the pitcher has to make up for his inability at the plate by being more valuable through his pitching, just as Oritz should have to make up for his uselessness in the field by being valuable at the plate. (Did you catch Pedroia's comments in 2011 when the Sox were in Philadelphia and Francona tried putting Adrian Gonzalez in RF and Ortiz at 1B to get both those bats in the line-up? I think Dustin nearly walked back to Boston in disgust.) That's as fair as it gets. Quote:
(Sandy Koufax, 1955: 0-for-12, 12 Ks. So maybe not.) Quote:
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Every.Single.Frickin'.Time. Koufax kept going to the plate when he was batting .000 because Walter Alston made him. What's your excuse? Quote:
See, I can make up unjustified "predictions" just as easily as you. Aren't you proud of me? Quote:
But Matt Harvey was in the Top 5. I guess Mets fans don't mind seeing Matt "embarrass" himself at the plate, after all. ![]() ETA: I keep mentioning that Ortiz is a liability on the basepaths, so why aren't you campaigning for a Designated Runner to chug around so Papi doesn't have to? Bring back Herb Washington! (Yes, Herb is currently 63 years old. I think he's still faster than Ortiz, though.) Last edited by Amazin69; 05-16-2015 at 07:52 PM. |
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#132 |
Minors (Single A)
Join Date: Jan 2011
Posts: 97
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Another diatribe.... insulting grammar in a baseball forum, really, on and on doing nothing but insult after non-sense...
btw- yes Ken Holtzman had a good series... woot woot... Catfish was known for and year after year proved that he was a great hitter as pitchers go... .226 lifetime... Holtzman was .163, so actually better than many pitchers... Anyway, I am done with this thread, you obviously see nothing better than throwing insults instead of good discussions... Last edited by RandyMyers; 05-16-2015 at 08:34 PM. |
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#133 |
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Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Toronto ON by way of Glasgow UK
Posts: 15,629
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Well at least people seem to have backed off on the AL HBP claim. Anyone care to man up and say they were wrong? Not holding my breath.
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Cheers RichW If you’re looking for a good cause to donate money to please consider a Donation to Parkinson’s Canada. It may help me have a better future and if not me, someone else. Thanks. “Conservatism consists of exactly one proposition …There must be in-groups whom the law protects but does not bind, alongside out-groups whom the law binds but does not protect.” Frank Wilhoit |
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#134 | |
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Join Date: Jul 2014
Posts: 405
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Quote:
Want Ortiz' bat in the lineup? There should be no way to do that without putting up with his glove. That's another tradeoff (besides the "leave Clemens in or pinch hit" type mentioned well up-thread) the DH rule removes from the game. On strategy, no one pro-DH ever has truly addressed the examples of cases where it made for strategic dilemmas for Davey Johnson and John McNamara in famous games, dilemmas that there is no one obvious way to handle. In OOTP play when I manage a game, at least half the times that I have to stop and think for a bit over what I want to do would not make me stop to think if I used the DH. Strategic tradeoffs are interesting, and are a large part of what makes sports, including baseball, interesting. The pro-DH crowd more or less tries to make its case based on inevitability, which is not a case for what should be done, even if it were true. Even if it were "inevitable" that the NL would eventually adopt the DH, I'd say (as Bill Maher said on an unrelated subject) "Then we need to find a way to make it 'evitable.'" |
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#135 |
Minors (Single A)
Join Date: Jan 2011
Posts: 97
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I was wrong..... sowwie.....
Oh wait, I agreed with you on the AL HBP thingy... can I take my sorry back? ![]() |
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#136 | |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Toronto ON by way of Glasgow UK
Posts: 15,629
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Quote:
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Cheers RichW If you’re looking for a good cause to donate money to please consider a Donation to Parkinson’s Canada. It may help me have a better future and if not me, someone else. Thanks. “Conservatism consists of exactly one proposition …There must be in-groups whom the law protects but does not bind, alongside out-groups whom the law binds but does not protect.” Frank Wilhoit |
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#137 |
Major Leagues
Join Date: Jun 2013
Posts: 378
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NL = chess, AL = checkers.
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#138 | |
Major Leagues
Join Date: Jul 2014
Posts: 405
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Quote:
That's no argument for it. And obviously, if it had 0% support among fans (to be clear, I'm not claiming anything like that as the actual level) it would be gone next season. Arguments over sports rules are arguments over what should happen. Anything else is pointless. If you have to resort to "Well, it's not going away!" then that seems to show you can't justify it as something others should want, just as something they can't get rid of, and just sort of mocking those like me who'd love to get rid of it with "Hahahaha, but you won't!" Then the pro-DHers throw in the inevitability rhetorical technique about "drop your opposition to expanding it to the NL, because that's inevitable, too." And that part is BS. The DH would even be gone from the AL already if the MLBPA had been willing to allow it. I don't see any realistic chance to be gone from the AL in the foreseeable future because the MLBPA would require much more in return than the owners would offer. But again, that's no reason to say its existence is good. Analogy: I don't want to age. Most people don't. None of us can stop it. I don't think many would try to argue that aging is good on the basis we can't stop it, though. Some might argue it as good in terms of clearing room for new generations, or something, but even when you take something truly 100% unavoidable, unavoidability is no argument. |
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#139 |
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Join Date: Sep 2013
Location: In the canyons of your mind
Posts: 3,185
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The "inevitability rhetorical technique" is a valid response for when an anti-DHer lays out a plan, usually half-baked, as to how the American League, all the minor leagues, the NCAA, et al., can comfortably drop the DH, the conceit of which is that all those leagues, all the colleges, all the international organizations, and everybody else on the planet—except for fifteen lumbering American League batters and the MLBPA—wants to make that happen.
There's really only one response rooted in reality there can be to that: dream on, because that's never going to happen. Because not only is there no movement afoot to remove the DH from the American League or any other league that utilizes it, but in fact all the serious discussion within the game today is about whether, when and how to install the DH in the National League. It's not simply rhetorical. It is truly inevitable. |
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#140 | |
Major Leagues
Join Date: Jul 2014
Posts: 405
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Quote:
I will cite the above polls as proof that (a) more fans would rather see the DH eliminated in the AL than added to the NL, and (b) the vast majority of fans do not want to see it added to the NL. I'll cite my own link that, at least as of 2009, the MLB owners wanted to eliminate the DH from the AL, and it would have been eliminated, except that the MLBPA blocked it, a move that I conceded was probably in the best interest of their members because they were not offered enough to make it in the players' financial interests. I also offered a plan that I never claimed would be adopted, that was an emotional response to the inevitability argument, because if something horrible (by the standards of sports; nothing can happen in sports that's as horrible-- or as good-- as things that can happen in real life, but the forcing of the DH into the NL would be one of the worst things that has ever happened in sports that lacked outside-of-sports implications) were inevitable, you have to "make it evitable." But rather than argue the merits, because for pro-DHers that is unwinnable, you perpetuate the myth that it's inevitable that the DH will be universal, which has a bandwagon effect if people believe it, because some people are shallow enough not to evaluate the merits but rather will join any side they feel certain will win. The owners do not want to add the DH rule to the NL, and in fact probably, as in 2009, would strip it from the AL if they could. The fans don't want the DH in the NL also. The MLBPA wants to force it in-- in this case, not rationally evaluating its members interest (the responding dip in baseball revenues, even though I admit it would probably almost all be a temporary dip, would mean owners would spend less money on player contracts due to lesser revenue until revenue rebounded). The MLBPA has outmaneuvered the owners before, which I usually have applauded. I particularly don't like the salary cap owners would also like, because I think it should be possible to keep a great team together. Is it possible the MLBPA will outmanuever the owners and get it in? It's possible. It's more likely the MLBPA will extract other concessions (ones I might well like) instead. It's far from inevitable. And if you're for the DH, you should be able to argue why less strategy and more one-dimensional beer leaguers make for a better game. Edited to add: Yes, I realize Chuck and others on this topic are largely trolling at this point just to get people who prefer real baseball to DH-ball riled up, but I guess I lack the self-control not to respond despite that. Last edited by Anyone; 05-19-2015 at 08:01 PM. |
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