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Old 04-23-2020, 04:45 PM   #1
nate686
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Overall rating progression for older pitchers

I've run a couple different simulations up until late August with different teams. In both instances, Verlander had an ERA of around 4 and his progression sharply declined to 50-55 from 75-80. I also put the scouting at 100% accurate. Some questions listed below

1) Does performance correlate with declining rating?
2) Do older pitchers (i.e. Scherzer/Kershaw/Greinke) have more of a chance of a declining rating?
3) Even though I put 100% accurate scouting rating, is that the accurate rating for the pitcher in the game in the database or still just the scout's opinion?
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Old 04-23-2020, 05:13 PM   #2
CBeisbol
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Quote:
Originally Posted by nate686 View Post
I've run a couple different simulations up until late August with different teams. In both instances, Verlander had an ERA of around 4 and his progression sharply declined to 50-55 from 75-80. I also put the scouting at 100% accurate. Some questions listed below

1) Does performance correlate with declining rating?
Yes. Ratings are a peek at the underlying projected statistics for the player.

Quote:
2) Do older pitchers (i.e. Scherzer/Kershaw/Greinke) have more of a chance of a declining rating?
Yes. Players follow an aging curve.
They increase to a point, plateau, and decline
Not all the same, and other factors contribute


Quote:
3) Even though I put 100% accurate scouting rating, is that the accurate rating for the pitcher in the game in the database or still just the scout's opinion?
I believe it is accurate
However, different rating systems have more or less precision.
The star scale, for example, is not as precise as the 100 point system

Last edited by CBeisbol; 04-23-2020 at 08:29 PM.
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